How unlikely is a McCain victory?

In order to win, John McCain needs to capture all of the “toss-up” states, plus steal Pennsylvania from Obama’s column. Here’s a good explanation:
 

 
How likely is it that McCain can steal Pennsylvania? Pollster.com’s rolling average has Obama polling at 51.8%.
 
Pollster.com Pennsylvania

It seems to me that an Obama blowout is more likely than a narrow McCain victory.

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2 Comments (+add yours?)

  1. nebcanuck
    Nov 03, 2008 @ 11:02:56

    Time to rig the polls, McCain?

    Reply

  2. Bill
    Nov 03, 2008 @ 13:33:17

    Voter Caging has been going on since Sept. This election will be nasty that way. http://www.bradblog.com/?p=6403

    Reply

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